In a much anticipated move, the Braves traded away slugger Justin Upton for a package of prospects. Friday the front office completed a 6-player trade with the San Diego Padres. Joining Upton in the trade to San Diego is Aaron Northcraft, minor league RHP prospect. In return from the Padres, the Braves receive much-touted prospect Max Fried (LHP), Jace Peterson (INF), Dustin Peterson (INF), and Mallex Smith (OF).
The headliner headed to San Diego is Justin Upton, of course. But the Padres also receive 24-year-old pitching prospect Aaron Northcraft. Northcraft had a rough 2014 season when he went from a pitcher with a 7-3 record and 2.88 ERA while at Double-A to an 0-7 pitcher with an elevated 6.54 ERA at Triple-A Gwinnett. He never had the speed or power to be a piece of the Braves’ bullpen and given his struggles in AAA, he wasn’t projected to be a possibility for the rotation. While he could add depth eventually to the Padres’ young rotation, his loss isn’t one the Braves can’t absorb.
In 2 seasons with the Braves, the 27-year-old Upton hit 27 and 29 home runs, some would say at the cost of 160+ strikeouts per year. His .263 and .270 averages came up short of the marks he tallied the previous 4 seasons in Arizona. His defense seemed to be down while in Atlanta, though that could arguably be due to the shadow of the greatest defensive right fielder in the league–Jason Heyward–to compare him to. While playing with his big brother B.J. didn’t seem to hurt or help his game, the opposite was true for B.J. There is always the possibility that B.J. might play better without his brother on the roster with him. Time will tell.
Upton’s bat will be replaced in the lineup by the full-time bat of Evan Gattis, presumably. Gattis will man LF while rookie Bethancourt takes on the responsibility of being behind the plate full-time.
BRAVES MOVE AHEAD IN PUSH FOR 2017 STADIUM OPENING…
For fans who don’t quite grasp what the Braves are doing with their offseason moves, it is helpful to understand that in 2017 the Cobb County stadium (SunTrust Park) will open. This isn’t the type of fire sale that would see the team sell off their highest valued pieces for a load of young prospects to restock the farm. This is simply letting go of players that they would otherwise only have control of for a year before they left for free agency, the case with both Heyward and Upton. In return, the Braves may not be receiving pieces that are big-league ready (which is the case with all but Max Fried in the Padres trade), but they will be by 2017 when the team hopes to have a club that can not only only compete, but can win it all.
That said, don’t count Atlanta out. Adding Shelby Miller makes for a young, talented rotation with Julio Teheran, Mike Minor, Alex Wood and possibly David Hale. Adding Nick Markakis gives the Braves’ lineup some pop, pop that will come with less strikeouts than the Braves’ OF has brought to the equation in the last 2 years. With the signing of Callaspo, the Braves add a sure hand that can provide leadership for the up and coming young players like Pastornicky, Gosselin and Perraza.
Trading with the Padres brought 4 prospects to the club that will help in various ways with the current plan to build for a great 2017 run. Max Fried, the prospect most likely to break into the big leagues first, had Tommy John surgery near the end of the 2014 season. This isn’t necessarily a terrible thing for Atlanta, however. Fried was the No. 7-overall pick in the 2012 draft by San Diego and with the TJ surgery behind him, he could prove to be similar to Alex Wood in his availability once healed. At 20-years-old, Fried had a successful 147 innings in Class A rookie ball this year before being shutdown with elbow soreness. He posted a 3.61 ERA in 38 appearances.
With Fried come 3 fielders. Jace and Dustin Peterson, of no relation, are both infield prospects. Jace played 27 games with the Padres last season and Dustin was the second round pick of the Friars in 2013. Mallex Smith is the 3rd position player in the group and was drafted in 2012. He hit .327 in 55 games in A-ball in 2014. All 3 of the fielders are 24 or under.
Going forward John Hart hasn’t ruled out additional trades, but he has suggested that they’ll “circle back” on free agents. For now and likely for the 2015 season, Evan Gattis and Chris Johnson will remain with the club.
Tara Rowe is an independent historian and beat writer for BravesWire.com. Follow Tara on Twitter @framethepitch.
Freddie Freeman: @FreddieFreeman5
Andrelton Simmons: @Andrelton
David Carpenter: @DCarpenter29
Alex Wood: @awood45
Todd Cunningam: @Todd_Cunningham
Justin Upton: @JUP_8TL
Chris Johnson: @C_Johnson28
Evan Gattis: @BulldogBeing
Craig Kimbrel: @kimbrel46
B.J. Upton: @BJUPTON2
Julio Teheran: @Julio_Teheran
Joe Terdoslavich: @JoeTerdoslavich
Luis Avilan: @lavilan70
Christian Bethancourt: @ChristianBeth27
Tyrell Jenkins: @TyrellJenkins14
Shelby Miller: @shelbymiller19
Mike Minor: @MikeMinor36
Shae Simmons: @Shae_Simmons
Chasen Shreve: @chasenshreve
Phil Gosselin: @PGosselin15
In a much anticipated move, the Atlanta Braves made a deal for a right fielder today with long-time Oriole Nick Markakis. It was the second move of the day for John Hart and the front office in Atlanta after signing former Oriole closer Jim Johnson. Markakis agreed to a 4-year, $44 million deal while his former Baltimore teammate signed for 1-year, $1.6 million.
While it was clear after the Braves traded Jason Heyward and Jordan Walden to the Cardinals for Shelby Miller and Tyrell Jenkins that they would be looking for a replacement for Heyward in right field, it wasn’t clear where they would look to fill that hole. The possibility of moving Justin Upton back to right field while utilizing Evan Gattis in left field was the only in-house scenario available. On the trade market, the free agents available included Markakis, Nori Aoki, Michael Morse, Melky Cabrera and Torii Hunter. With Hunter signing yesterday with the Twins, it was clear the pieces were going to begin falling. Enter the talks with Nick Markakis.
Markakis, who attended high school and college in Georgia, has spent his entire big league career with the Baltimore Orioles. He has 9 years of service on his stat sheet with a career .290 average, .358 on-base percentage and .435 slugging. He has averaged 152 games per season, notching 155+ games in all but two of those seasons. He is coming off his second Gold Glove season in right field and a season where he batted .276.
Atlanta has not had the best luck with long-term contracts in recent years, eating significant money on Derek Lowe and Dan Uggla as well as continuing to watch the B.J. Upton disaster play out. The structuring of Markakis’ deal could turn out to be a bargain during an offseason that finds nearly every team needing OF help. The signing of Markakis also leaves many wondering if this was merely setting up the club for a further move that would send Justin Upton elsewhere for pitching help and prospects. If this is to be the case, the Braves’ outfield would presumably be Gattis, the elder Upton and Markakis.
Prior to the Markakis signing, the Braves announced that they had signed former Orioles and A’s closer Jim Johnson to a 1-year deal. Johnson, also a 9-year veteran of the league, spent 2006-13 with the Orioles before signing a big contract with the Oakland A’s that fizzled. He ended last season with the Detroit Tigers.
Over his career, Johnson has posted a 3.57 ERA. Though he was unlikely to return to closing duties with any club after losing command of his sinker when he signed with Oakland, his services were needed by the Braves with the departure of Walden. He will likely serve as set-up man for Kimbrel. The hope is that Roger McDowell, who lived and died with an exceptional sinker in his big league career, will be able to straighten out Johnson and get him back on track.
When his career went off the rails with the A’s, Johnson posted a 7.14 ERA with 2 saves in 38 appearances for the A’s. His time in Detroit, beginning in August, saw him appear in 16 games where he posted a 6.92 ERA. While both of those numbers are elevated, his ERA was inflated by a few games of no command when he was left in. Many baseball commentators contend that 2014 was an anomaly for Johnson.
The two former Orioles round out several new additions or returning additions to the club and could still be joined by other new faces before the winter is over.
Tara Rowe is an independent historian and beat writer for BravesWire.com. Follow Tara on Twitter @framethepitch.
When the non-tender deadline passes today, teams around baseball will know exactly where their rosters stand. Like the twenty-nine other teams around the league, the Braves have been aware since the season ended what their biggest holes. For Atlanta, as Kent Covington pointed out, the most glaring problems have been with pitching. An ongoing crisis of arms that began with the fall of Tommy Hanson and Jair Jurrjens continues today as the Braves decide which of Kris Medlen or Brandon Beachy to tender. However, the offense is not without its problems and its hole, too.
Yesterday the Seattle Mariners signed slugger Nelson Cruz to a 4-year deal. The deal itself seems likely to blow up for Seattle somewhere between seasons two and three. Seattle had been one of the teams that seemed the most likely fit for a guy like Justin Upton. Though the Braves contend they haven’t been shopping Upton around, they have been getting plenty of calls about he and fellow slugger Evan Gattis. Prior to the Cruz signing, it would have seemed that Upton and Gattis together could answer all of the Mariners offensive woes (protection for highest-paid player Robinson Cano, backup for everyday catcher Mike Zunino) while giving the Braves what they need most: starting pitching. This didn’t work out and as of this writing the Braves still have both Upton and Gattis.
With the possible trade partner of Seattle, the Braves were all but assured a starting pitcher. Whether that be Taijuan Walker or James Paxton, that would have answered the pitching need that saw the Braves trade away Jason Heyward to the Cardinals for starter Shelby Miller and Tommy La Stella to the Cubs to reacquire Arodys Vizcaino. The Mariners, unlike the Braves, have a flexible and growing budget. It was a better organizational decision to seek out a free agent. The Braves, despite the growth in their budget in the last two years, do not have this luxury.
Where does this leave Atlanta with possible trades? They have spoken for nearly a year with the Astros about Evan Gattis. Their requirement of Houston seems a bridge too far, though. The Braves would require the Astros to pick up the remainder of the B.J. Upton deal in addition to swapping Gattis for Dexter Fowler. This, of course, wouldn’t answer the question of what to do in rightfield with the departure of Heyward. Fowler could potentially be a lead off man, but not exactly the prototypical lead off man it seems Atlanta has been looking for over the past four to five years.
A small market for outfielders means the prices will be high for free agents. This would include aging and health-plagued bats like Torii Hunter and Nick Markakis. Other OF options out there are Alex Rios and Matt Kemp. The chances of the Braves taking on the money and potential health risks of Kemp are slim. Rios looks to be more likely to stay in the American League.
Let’s take a step back for a moment and assume the Braves don’t make a deal to send Justin Upton elsewhere. Upton is due to make $14.5 million in 2015. He will then leave as a FA, assuming he is too expensive for the Braves to hang on to. If they make a qualifying offer after the 2015 season and he chooses to walk, they are assured a draft pick. For a guy who still hit 29 homers and posted 102 RBIs in 2014, that’s not a terrible bat to keep around despite the strikeouts. Unlike his brother, there is a still a huge upside to keeping Upton.
As far as Evan Gattis, he is more expendable for Atlanta (yes, it breaks my heart to say that). Young and cheap for the team, he isn’t breaking the bank sticking around, but he is a semi-valuable trade chip. If they could come to terms with Houston in a deal that would bring either a hitter like Fowler or even a starting pitcher like Feldman to the club, it would be worth it to the front office to do so. Gattis has the potential to be a very good American League hitter–given the ability to DH regularly–and would still be able to catch either in a starting or backup role. Let’s face it: He’s not a great option in left field for any club.
While on the topic of backup catchers, let’s discuss our old friend David Ross. Ross left two years ago to go win a World Series with the Boston Red Sox and now his contract is up. Because his battery mate Jon Lester is also looking for a team, the probability that they end up in the same place is good given their chemistry and Lester’s improved numbers with Ross behind the dish. But if Lester were to sign with Atlanta, a club he has talked to, or Ross were to sign away from Lester, Ross would be a great guy to have back with the club in a backup role. The front office has been looking for a veteran guy to fill the backup role behind either Gattis or Bethancourt and Ross fits that bill on top of already having amazing chemistry with the other guys on the roster. A few other options for Atlanta to consider: Retaining Gerald Laird, signing A.J. Pierzynski, approaching John Buck or continuing their offseason trade partnership with the Yankees to get Austin Romine. Of those options none add much to the offense above and beyond what Laird has the last two years. In fact, Laird, despite not having much power, is the better bet at getting on base. But if the Braves are looking for a guy who can lead the staff every few days, you can’t go wrong with John Buck.
On a final note let’s return to the issue of who will fill the lead off hitter void that Jason Heyward leaves. Heyward was never meant to be a lead off hitter. It just so happened he was the Braves’ best option. Andrelton Simmons isn’t meant to be a lead off hitter and B.J. Upton’s lead off days went the way of the dodo when his strikeout rate went through the roof. With Ramiro Pena and Tommy La Stella gone, the options are few. If the Braves ever give Jose Constanza a true shot in the big leagues he could presumably lead off. And the latest Yankee to join the club, Zoilo Almonte, is too much of a wild card. That leaves the possibility of signing Fowler and asking him to step into that role or doing something else entirely.
Here’s a thought: Say the Mariners are still interested in Justin Upton or Evan Gattis. They do still need a right fielder and maybe a backup catcher. They have a backlog of outfielders in Triple-A (guys like Julio Morban and Stefen Romero) and players they have been hanging onto despite talks during the trade deadline last year. What about Dustin Ackley? He, too, isn’t a prototypical lead off man. But he brings speed, good base running and exceptional baseball IQ to his game. After wanting to bring up Nick Franklin and then Chris Taylor followed by signing premiere second baseman Robinson Cano, Dustin Ackley was tried in the outfield and turned into a decent left fielder. His speed would be an asset in the large expanse of Turner Field as well as on the base paths. He’s a grinder and one any club would love to have. Are you reading this John Hart? A trade for Ackley, depending on the circumstances, could also bring with him a reliever from one of the best rated and least talked about bullpens in either league.
Perhaps it’s merely wishful thinking on my part to see the Mariners and Braves become trade partners. Never rule out the wild card in baseball: Billy Beane. It’s said that the A’s also have interest in Gattis, Upton or both. If that’s the case, who knows what will happen.
With the non-tender deadline today and winter meetings to begin soon, it looks like we’ll have answers soon.
Tara Rowe is an independent historian and beat writer for BravesWire.com. Follow Tara on Twitter @framethepitch.
On August 1st, the Braves were 6 games over .500 and had lost in spectacular fashion to the offense-challenged San Diego Padres on a night that the team once again trotted out the struggling Mike Minor amid the worry that his downhill slide could be costly to Atlanta down the stretch. As it would turn out, Mike Minor was only one part of the behemoth that kept the Braves out of the playoff and began a huge shakeup in their front office.
Since September 22nd when the Braves announced quite suddenly that they had fired general manager Frank Wren, they have made several additional moves.
Hitting coach Greg Walker resigned after three seasons with the club. Given how poorly the bats performed this season, especially the bats of high-potential players Jason Heyward, Chris Johnson, Justin Upton and the high-contract players B.J. Upton and Dan Uggla, the resignation of Walker wasn’t nearly as surprising as the departure of Wren. In addition to Walker leaving the coaching staff, the Braves hired recent Astros manager Bo Porter to be the third base coach under returning manager Fredi Gonzalez. His duties will include working with the outfielders and serving as base running coach. Porter served on the coaching staff of Gonzalez during his time with the Marlins. Gonzalez has been assured of his return in 2015, backed by his predecessor and mentor Bobby Cox.
With John Hart as the interim GM while a search for Wren’s replacement continues, the Braves have shuffled the front office beginning with the hiring of the former renowned Yankees scout Gordon Blakely. Blakely will serve under the yet to be found GM as the special assistant to the GM.
Blakeley and assistant GM John Coppolella have a history together going back to their days together with the Yankees. Blakely has a strong track record of successful international signings including now-Mariners’ slugger Robinson Cano.
All of this change has certainly fed speculation about two potential candidates for open jobs within the organization: Dayton Moore and Chipper Jones.
Dayton Moore, currently the GM of the ALCS-bound Royals, began his career with the Braves as a scout. He went on to be Atlanta’s assistant director of scouting, assistant director of player development, director of international scouting, director of player personnel development and eventual assistant GM. He left the Braves organization in 2006 when he was offered the GM gig in Kansas City. His contract with the Royals will expire this year.
Chipper Jones, of course, hasn’t been gone long from the club. Since his retirement in 2012, Jones has been around the club during spring training and throughout the season. He has worked with B.J. Upton on his swing and has been willing to offer advice to his former teammates. However, now may not be the time for Chipper to return to the club as hitting coach. Despite his credentials, he seems to be set on continuing to raise his sons and take over his family’s ranch in Texas. If he were interested, he certainly would be an attractive candidate to the club and a respected voice by the players.
Until decisions are made for the open positions and, honestly, the postseason concludes, the rumors will continue to fly about the future of the Braves. There are times when an organization needs change and as the team begins building for the big debut of their Cobb County stadium now seems to be the right time.
With the Braves out officially out of contention and the blame game beginning, the Atlanta Braves made the first cut of the long offseason Monday morning by firing General Manager Frank Wren.
Frank Wren game 15 years to the Braves organization, including 8 as assistant to John Schuerholz.
In Wren’s 7 years as GM, the Braves made it to the postseason 3 times. However, in his 7 years with the club, 2 contracts will inevitably be linked to his downfall–those of B.J. Upton and Dan Uggla. Wren, who took over as GM from former GM and now team president John Schuerholz, signed Uggla to a 5-year $62 million deal that the Braves will continue to pay on despite cutting ties with Uggla after the trade deadline this year. B.J. Upton, who remains with the club for the time being, signed a 5-year $75 million deal (the largest free agent signing with the club at that point) and has been even worse on offense than the dismissed Uggla.
While the Braves made 3 postseason appearances in Wren’s tenure as GM, they won only 2 postseason games in those appearances and were unable to make it through the first round of division play. The infamous Wild Card game that saw the fans revolt at a controversial infield fly call also came during Wren’s tenure.
Wren’s tenure will not be marked by only the faults of the Atlanta Braves system, however. As GM, Wren led spending last winter with the signings of young talent by way of Craig Kimbrel, Julio Teheran, Freddie Freeman, Andrelton Simmons and Jason Heyward. The signings have set the club up going forward as they begin a new era at the new SunTrust Park in Cobb County set to open on Opening Day 2017.
A search for a new GM will begin in earnest. In the meantime, former Indians and Rangers GM and current Braves senior advisor John Hart will serve as Atlanta’s interim GM.
In one of the most unusual seasons we have seen from the Braves in the last dozen years, the Braves continue to hang on to hopes of a postseason berth. At this writing, sitting 1 1/2 games out of the 2nd wild card slot. They are 8 games behind the rival Nats, a gap they did little to close in this week’s series against them. Despite one more series against the Nats this season, the calendar may run out without leaving the Braves enough time to catch up. That is unless the Nats suffer a collapse similar to the way the A’s have in their last 14 games in the American League.
If there are bright spots to be found in the series loss to the Nats, the performances of Aaron Harang and Freddie Freeman are to be noted.
Freddie Freeman may not hit against the Miami Marlins, but he hits and hits and hits some more against the Washington Nationals. In 2014, Freddie has hit .476 (30-for-63) against Washington with a whopping .778 slugging percentage. In his career, Freddie is a .329 hitter against the Nats. Freeman needs 3 more hits to match Matty Alou (1969) for the most in a single season against the Nationals franchise (what was the Expos). Freddie can certainly pass that mark with the final series against the Nats beginning on Monday.
While Freddie’s numbers are down slightly from the career highs of the 2013 season, he has been one of the most dependable hitters on the club. Additionally, Freeman has made the case for his first gold glove.
When the Braves faced the possibility of a sweep at the hands of the rival Nats, no player stepped up in a bigger way than veteran starter Aaron Harang. 7 innings, 1 unearned run with only 6 hits allowed and 9 strikeouts is exactly what the Braves needed from Aaron Harang who had struggled in his previous several starts.
Of course, it didn’t hurt the Braves chances in the finale of the series to be facing Stephen Strasburg. The Braves have had Strasburg’s number all season. In 2014, Strasburg has made 4 starts against Atlanta. In those 4 starts he has posted a 7.17 ERA with 17 earned runs in 21 1/3 innings pitched. He allowed 3 runs to the Braves in 6 innings pitched before turning the game over to Jerry Blevins who also allowed 3 runs.
The Nats have not announced the probables for the series at Turner Field when the boys return from Texas, but chances are very good that they’ll face Strasburg one last time this season.
BRAVES MAKE RARE TRIP TO ARLINGTON…
Presumably the Braves will have the services of Evan Gattis and Andrelton Simmons in Texas. Gattis, a Dallas native, has been out for several games with strep throat. Simmons was benched after his frustration at the plate was further dragging his numbers down and preventing him from helping the team in tough spots. In September, Simmons is hitting .129 with 7 strikeouts in 32 plate appearances. For a player that has previously been tough to strike out, Simmons’ strikeout numbers rising is cause for concern for the Braves.
Evan Gattis is hitting .270 on the season, up from the .243 he hit in 2013 as a rookie in nearly as many games, but his numbers are down in the second half. Since August 1st, Gattis has hit .231 and is slugging only .423. He hit only .235 in his last 5 games before coming down with strep throat.
Wood (10-10, 2.90) will take the mound vs. Holland (1-0, 0.64) in the series opener at Globe Life Park in Arlington, Texas. Saturday’s matinee will pit Teheran (13-11, 3.00) vs. Baker (3-4, 5.52). Minor (6-10, 4.58) will wrap the series vs. Lewis (9-13, 5.29).
As schedules go, the Braves won’t have it easy facing the Nationals for 6 games in September and the Pirates for 4. However, the Braves get to face bottom-of-the pack Mets (3 games), Rangers (3 games) and Phillies (6 games) in the final month as well. The pesky Marlins don’t quite seem to be in either category, though with the last 3 games against them and the coming weekend series in Miami, the Braves have to beat the Fish to hang on to their division hopes and/or the wild card. Taking 2-of-3 from Miami at Turner Field is exactly what Atlanta needed to do over the weekend.
If making a statement that Atlanta’s starting rotation is every bit as deep as the much-hyped Washington rotation, then Alex Wood did exactly that with his double digit shutout performance of Miami. His 12 strikeouts in his 8 inning outing Sunday matched a career high. Let’s talk about Wood’s last 7 starts: Over 48 1/3 innings, he has given up 34 hits, a mere 10 earned runs and has 48 K’s to his 14 walks. That’s a 1.86 ERA over 7 games. For those keeping track, Wood now has enough innings on the season to qualify among the league leaders in ERA (2.96).
While Harang struggled in Saturday’s outing, it’s important to remember that the veteran has a respectable ERA at 3.64. His record of 10-9 reflects the offense’s inability to overcome Harang giving up 4 runs in an outing. True to that fact, the Braves were unable to score against the Marlins in the second game of the series.
No discussion of pitching would be complete without mentioning that Craig Kimbrel notching his 40th save on the season against Miami. Kimbrel joins an elite group of closers including only Trevor Hoffman and Francisco Rodriguez as pitchers with 40 saves in 4 consecutive seasons. Last year Kimbrel became the first closer in MLB history to record 40 or more saves in 3 consecutive seasons to begin their career. Kimbrel now adds to that incredible record with his 4th consecutive season of 40 or more saves to begin a big league career. Including Sunday night’s save in relief of Wood’s gem, Kimbrel has 179 saves in his young career.
Let’s stick to pitching this week and give the offense a breather to reassess. Boy, they’ve struggled to score runs consistently. It should come as no surprise that they struggled against the Marlins this series. Freeman improved to 6-for-61 against the Marlins on the season in the final game of the series, if that’s any indication of just how tough the offense is scuffling.
BRAVES WELCOME PHILLIES TO BREAK UP VISITS WITH THE FISH…
The Braves were dealt tough news this week about reliever Jonny Venters. Venters, who was having numerous setbacks while rehabbing following last year’s Tommy John surgery, has another torn UCL and will require his 3rd Tommy John surgery. The likelihood of Venters every pitching again are unknown and the likelihood of him ever pitching for the Braves again is slim. Venters was once a third of the group dubbed The Untouchables. With ex-Brave Eric O’Flaherty and closer Craig Kimbrel, he was a big part of how the Braves were known for the best bullpen in baseball. Unfortunately, there will always be questions about whether overuse contributed to Venters’ elbow issues.
Going into September, the Braves continue to be without the services of reliever Shae Simmons. With ongoing shoulder problems, the Braves have decided to give Simmons extra time to rest rather than chance that he’ll go into the offseason with lingering issues. Due to the extra couple weeks of rest, Simmons may not rejoin the club down the stretch. Simmons shoulder has been bothering him since July when he had a stretch of relief appearances where he pitched with a 15.00 ERA. This after starting the season, his first 20 big league appearances, with a ridiculous 0.96 ERA. He has not pitched with the club since going on the DL on July 24th.
Philly arrives in Atlanta for a 3-game set before the Braves have a rare Thursday off day as they travel to Miami. Monday’s series opener will feature veteran Hamels (7-6, 2.59) vs. Teheran (13-9, 2.90). Tuesday will pit Kendrick (7-11, 4.97) vs. resurgent Minor (6-8, 4.70). The series finale will feature Buchanan (6-7, 4.03) vs. Santana (13-7, 3.53).
After breaking out the bats in the series opener against the Reds at Great American Ballpark, the Braves were once again the victims of their own lack of run support for quality starting pitching. Walking away from the a series split in Cincy, Atlanta missed an opportunity to improve in the wild card standings.
The Braves leave GAB for Citi Field for a 3-game set sitting 8 games back in the division and 1 game behind the Giants for the second wild card slot.
In the lead up to the series in Cincinnati, we broke down the slugging numbers for several players, but overlooked the hitter with the best numbers at Great American Ballpark: Andrelton Simmons. In 6 games over his young career, Simmons has hit .429 at Great American. He has slugged an ungodly .893 in that band box. He was 12 hits, 4 doubles, 3 homers and 6 RBI. In the 3 games he started over the series, Simba hit .267/.267/.600 with 2 doubles, a homer and 2 RBI.
Keeping pace at the plate over the series, Justin Upton knocked another homer and hit .267. He also recorded his 2nd triple on the season. In August, Upton is hitting .288 with 4 doubles, a triple and 6 homers. Upton’s RBIs, 23 in August, continue to lead the Braves (nearly 20 more than the next closest hitter, Freeman). Upton is 3rd in the NL in RBIs right now behind only Giancarlo Stanton and Adrian Gonzalez. Additionally, he is 4th in homers in the league behind Stanton, Anthony Rizzo and Lucas Duda.
Pitching in the series was mostly solid, though Aaron Harang struggled in the 4th inning of the finale costing the Braves the game. Julio Teheran got the team off to a great start with 6 shutout innings where he allowed only 4 hits and struck out 3. Behind him came Russell in relief, a shaky sight for those who have watched the Braves since the trade deadline brought the club James Russell and Emilio Bonifacio. However, Fredi Gonzalez is not longer going to use Russell for lefties only and in his 2 innings of relief work for Teheran, Russell didn’t allow a hit or run.
Of course, the greatest pitching performance came from Mike Minor who flirted with a no hitter. Unfortunately, Minor didn’t get the no-no or the win. After 7 2/3 innings pitched allowing only 1 hit, Minor gave way to a series of relievers including Walden, Carpenter, Varvaro, Hale (who got the win) and Kimbrel. Despite giving up that 1 hit and 1 earned run, Minor got the no decision and the Braves finally got the win in extra innings thanks to a 12th inning blast by none other than Justin “Clutch” Upton.
Since having his spot skipped in the rotation early in the month, Minor is 1-1 in 3 starts (21 1/3 IP) with a 2.53 ERA. In those 3 games he has given up only 2 homers, has held opponents to .176 batting average and has 19 strikeouts. If the Braves hope to make a run at the Nats and/or stay in the wild card hunt, they need this Mike Minor to show up every time.
BRAVES VISIT TO CITI FIELD TO CAP ROAD TRIP…
It’s impossible for the Braves to play the Mets at Citi Field without mentioning the ridiculous numbers Freddie Freeman has against the Mets. Picking up the mantle of Chipper Jones, Freeman has hit .317 at Citi Field with 12 doubles and 5 homers. Against the Mets overall, Freeman has hit .324 in his career. He has been nothing but a pest for the Mets. This season Freddie has hit .392 against New York with 7 doubles, a homer and 13 RBIs. On the season, Freeman has hit .310 with RISP and .364 with 2 outs and RISP. His clutch stats in addition to his career history against the Mets bodes well for a team that gets going with Freeman as the spark.
Over the weekend, the Braves acknowledged that during their talks with the Cubs prior to the trade deadline they did attempt to trade B.J. Upton. The Cubs instead sent over Emilio Bonifacio and James Russell and the Braves kept B.J. This news isn’t too surprising given the struggles of the elder Upton since joining the Braves. However, the Braves willingness to trade him and presumably eat a huge amount of his contract might also signal that the Braves are willing to sit B.J. the way they previously had Dan Uggla. With Emilio Bonifacio’s versatility, the Braves can continue to use him in center field. In August for the Braves, Bonifacio has hit .255 with a .296 on-base percentage. He has stolen 3 bases as a Brave. By comparison, in August B.J. Upton is hitting .119 with a .257 on-base percentage. Their defense appears comparable. How the Braves proceed will likely have an impact on their overall success. It may simply come down to money.
The Braves will send Wood (9-9, 3.05) to the mound vs. Gee (4-6, 3.84) tomorrow. Wednesday will pit Teheran (12-9, 2.96) vs. Wheeler (9-8, 3.48). The series will wrap with Minor (5-8, 4.90) vs. Niese (7-9, 3.47). The Braves will then travel back to Turner Field for a homestand beginning with the Miami Marlins.
This team. This team is frustrating. This team is exciting. This team is agonizing. This team slumps. This team surges. This team dominates.
Yes, you may have thought these things about the Atlanta Braves throughout the season or even this month alone. You may have even thought these very things in the last week alone. How the Braves are playing now is how the Braves should have played all along had they any consistency on their side. How they play tomorrow and in the final run will come down to exactly that–consistency. They have the pieces. They have the talent. They have the potential, certainly. With a little luck and a heap of consistency, there is no reason this club couldn’t catch the Washington Nationals.
One of the most important pieces of the Braves’ offense in the last few series has been Justin Upton. Upton is on one of those torrid streaks that have defined his career. Over his last 12 games, the younger Upton has hit .350/.480/.700 with 4 homers, 2 doubles and 15 RBIs. Despite a miscue in the outfield in the tough loss to the Pirates in the final game of the series, his defense has been steady. He has been as much a reason for the Braves resurgence as any player on the roster.
The other gold glove caliber outfielder has had a series to remember as well. Jason Heyward hit .462 in Pittsburgh with 6 hits, including a double and a home run, and 5 RBI. He, like Upton, only struck out once at PNC Park. Heyward continues to make highlight reels on a nearly nightly basis with gems that defy physics. As was said last week about Freddie Freeman, if there isn’t a gold glove for Heyward at the end of this season, a Twitter campaign of epic proportions must be launched.
Let’s talk about pitching for a moment. Despite the terrible loss last night mostly at the hands of Jordan Walden, the Braves have seen improvement in their bullpen in the last few games. While they received tough news that Shae Simmons had been shut down again at Triple-A Gwinnett with shoulder soreness, there have been glimmers of hope for the setup men and all relievers whose name does not end in Kimbrel. Anthony Varvaro and David Hale have recovered from the horrendous roadtrip out west. In fact, since the second game in San Diego, Hale has not allowed a run. That’s 4 innings of work with where he has allowed 3 hits and 0 runs. Luis Avilan seems to have settled down considerably since being sent down as well. If these pieces have something to offer to the 1-2 punch of Walden and Kimbrel, the Braves are in great shape down the stretch.
While Jordan Walden was part of the stinker served up in the final game against the Pirates, let’s talk about the numbers for Walden overall. Since June 14th (30 games), Walden has a 1.00 ERA with 3 earned runs allowed in those games and 33 strikeouts. He held opponents to a .179 batting average against him. Since the aforementioned horrendous roadtrip, he has pitched with a 1.23 ERA in 7 1/3 innings pitched (1.17 overall in August). His 2.23 ERA on the season is very respectable. If the Braves have any hope of making it to the postseason and beyond, Walden’s health is paramount. His dominance followed by the unhittable Kimbrel limit opposing teams to 7 innings to try to score.
POWER-HITTING BRAVES ENTER THE BANDBOX…
Since the Braves are heading into the most notorious bandbox in the National League, let’s talk about slugging numbers among Braves starters.
While the masher of mashers Evan Gattis is slugging only .516 on the season, he has 2 homers in his last 5 games. He has played only 3 games at Great American Ballpark and hasn’t hit a dinger there. Look for that to change this series.
Freddie Freeman is slugging .490 in 2014. Since the last roadtrip his slugging percentage is respectable .667. Strangely the consistent Freeman has only hit .235/.316/.294 at Great American.
Slugging .520 on the season, .700 over his last 12 games, Justin Upton’s power numbers fare the best heading into Cincy. Though his numbers there are similar to Freddie’s, there is no stopping Upton when he gets hot and if he’s smashing balls out of the Ted, Cincy stands no chance against him.
While Chris Johnson is down nearly .100 in slugging since 2013, CJ has a .268 average when playing in Cincy with a .442 slugging percentage.
Of course good pitching will always beat good hitting no matter the park, so this weekend’s probables are important. And they are: Teheran (11-9, 3.06) vs. Holmberg (0-0, 15.00) tonight. Friday will see Minor (5-8, 5.16) vs. Latos (4-3, 3.10). Saturday will see Santana (13-6, 3.71) vs. Leake (9-11, 3.65). And Harang (10-7, 3.50) will take the mound against his former team vs. Simon (12-8, 3.35).